Tan iyo bilowgii sanadkan, suuqa propylene oxide ugu dambeyntii wuxuu ka takhalusay hoos u dhacii socday muddo 3 bilood ah wuxuuna dib ugu soo laabtay kanaalka kor u kaca. Laga bilaabo Maarso 1, qiimaha suuqa ee propylene oxide wuxuu ahaa 10,300 yuan (qiimaha tan, isla kan hoose), iyadoo koror wadarta ah uu yahay 15.15% tan iyo sanadkan. Warshaduhu waxay aaminsan yihiin, iyadoo la taageerayo kharashka iyo dhammaadka saadka, suuqa propylene oxide si fudud ayuu u kici karaa muddada gaaban; Laakiin muddada dheer, sababtoo ah awoodda cusub ee lacagta caddaanka ah ee la ururiyay, isu soo baxa way adag tahay in la sii wado.
Qiimaha ayaa kor u kacay
Ka dib fasaxii Gu'ga, qiimaha oksaydhka oxylene ayaa si degdeg ah kor ugu kacay, celceliska qiimaha wax ka yar hal bilna wuxuu kor u kacay in ka badan 700 yuan, taasoo ah koror dhan 7.83%. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, waxaa la taabanayay ilaa heerkii ugu sarreeyay tan iyo bishii Oktoobar ee sannadkii hore.
"Dhawaan, suuqyada oxyxide waxay muujiyeen isbeddello kor u kacay. Inkasta oo qiimaha bishii Febraayo uu hoos u dhacay muddo kooban, isagoo ku tiirsan taageerada alaabta ceeriin ee qiimaha sare leh, haddana kanaallada hoos u dhaca ayaa si weyn u yaraaday." Falanqeeyaha Macluumaadka Zhuo Chuang Feng Na ayaa soo bandhigay in loo baahan yahay soo celinta terminaalka oxylene oxide. Si buuxda uma soo kaban oo wuxuu leeyahay dabagal xaddidan, suuqa hoos u dhacana wuxuu hoos ugu dhacay meel cidhiidhi ah xilligan aan la saadaalin karin. Sida laga soo xigtay tirakoobyada hay'adaha ganacsiga, laga bilaabo bartamaha Janaayo ilaa Febraayo 6, celceliska qiimaha suuqa oksaydhka ayaa had iyo jeer la yaabay laga bilaabo 9150 yuan ilaa 9183 yuan.
Horraantii Febraayo, iyadoo si tartiib tartiib ah loo soo kabtay baahida terminalka, hawl-wadeennadu waxay lahaayeen rajooyin xooggan. Iyada oo la taageerayo kharashka, jawiga iibsiga ee hoos u dhacay ayaa dib u soo laabtay. Laga bilaabo Febraayo 6 ilaa 10, celceliska qiimaha suuqa oksaydhka ayaa ka kacay 9,150 yuan ilaa 9633.33 yuan, qiimaha tankuna wuxuu kor u kacay qiyaastii 500 yuan. Laga bilaabo bartamihii Febraayo, inkastoo baahida terminalka ay raacday, dalabka lama keenin sannadkii ka horreeyay, suuqa terminalkuna wuxuu leeyahay iskahorimaad cad oo qiimaha sare leh. Hoos ugu dhaca khadka tooska ah ilaa ku dhawaad 9,550 yuan. Dhammaadkii Febraayo, qalab badan oo dhinaca sahayda ah ayaa la dhimay wax soo saarka, taageerada kharashkana way xoog badnayd. Qiimaha methane ee epoxy-ga ayaa mar kale la kordhiyay. Febraayo 17 ilaa 24, celceliska qiimaha oxide patelletide wuxuu kor u kacay qiyaastii 300 yuan, koror dhan 3.32%.
Muddada gaaban waa fududahay in la kaco laakiin way adag tahay in la dhaco
Waxaa si weyn looga aaminsan yahay warshadaha in qodobka aasaasiga ah ee kiciya kororka suuqa oksaydhka propylene uu yahay dhinaca kharashka iyo saadka. Suuqa mustaqbalka, falanqeeyaha macluumaadka Longzhong Chen Xiaohan iyo shirkadaha kale waxay aaminsan yihiin in muddada gaaban, dhinaca saadka ee awoodda cusub ee lagu kasban karo dib u dhaca iyo dhinaca kharashka taageerada xooggan, suuqu uu si fudud u kor u kici doono si adagna loo dhici karo.
Chen Xiaohan ayaa tilmaamay in awoodda wax soo saarka 150,000 tan/sanadkii ee Tianjin Petrochemical, oo dhawaan lagu daray bartamihii Janaayo, si ku meel gaar ah loo xiray Febraayo 11, taasoo laga yaabo inay sii socoto ilaa dhammaadka Maarso. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, qalab cusub oo Wajiga I ah oo 400,000-ton/sanadkii ah oo ah Satellite Petrochemical ayaa ku jira cillad yar, badeecadana lama iibin ilaa hadda. Ilaa hadda, qalabka cusub ee suuqa yaalla ma laha mug.
Marka laga hadlayo awoodda wax soo saarka kaydka, qalabka Qi Xiangda ee 300,000 tan/sanadkii iyo qalabka Taixingyida 150,000 tan/sanadkii ma aysan dib u bilaaban ka dib markii la dhigay baarkinka dhammaadkii sannadkii hore. Warshadaha qaar ee wax soo saarka ku jira ayaa sidoo kale lahaa isbeddel muddo gaaban ah oo burbur ah. Marka la soo koobo, heerka guud ee isticmaalka awoodda suuqa oksaydhka waa qiyaastii 70%, wejiga koowaad ee qorshaha qalabka Zhenhai Refinement iyo Chemical Wajiga 285,000 tan/sanadkii ayaa la qorsheynayaa in la dhigo baarkinka si loo dayactiro. Ganacsatadu guud ahaan waxay sugaan oo arkaan iibka.
Guud ahaan, sahayda suuqa cusub ee epoxy ee dhawaan la keenay ma laha awood wax soo saar cusub, waxaana jira beddel joogto ah oo qorshayaasha dayactirka baaxadda weyn leh. Sidaa darteed, dhinaca sahayda ayaa la filayaa inuu noqdo mid xooggan. Dhammaadka kharashka is dulsaaran waa mid deggan oo xooggan, waxayna suuqa siinaysaa taageero gaar ah. Sidaa darteed, suurtagalnimada suuqa oksaydhka muddada gaaban wali waxay muujinaysaa inay fududahay in la koro oo ay adag tahay in la dhimo.
Kordhinta muddada dheer way adag tahay in la sii wado
Marka laga eego dhinaca dhexe iyo khadka dheer, maadaama propylene oxide uu weli ku jiro xilliga xanuunka badan ee ballaarinta awoodda wax soo saarka sanadkan, dadka gudaha warshadaha ku jira waxaa lagu qiimeeyay qorshaha cusub ee wax soo saarka awoodda. Mustaqbalka, suuqa epoxy-ga gudaha ayaa adkaan doonta in la hagaajiyo, waxaana la filayaa in qiimuhu uu isku beddelo 8,000 ilaa 11,000 yuan.
"2023 waa sannadkii saddexaad ee dheefshiidka awoodda wax soo saarka ee patelletide. Awoodda wax soo saarka cusub waa mid aad u weyn, qaar ka mid ah awoodda wax soo saarka cusubna ma laha taageero hoose." Sun Shanshan, oo ah falanqeeye ka tirsan Jin Lianchuang, ayaa aaminsan in awooddani ay noqon doonto qaab meel ama qandaraas ah. Marka si toos ah loo galo suuqa, saameynta suuqa ayaa si cad u muuqata.
Wararka hadda jira, rubuci labaad iyo saddexaad, waxaa jiray 400,000 tan/sanadkii oo ah Sinochem iyo Yangnong, 270,000 tan/sanadkii Zhejiang Petrochemical, iyo 300,000 tan/sanadkii oo ah aaladda oxylene. Intaa waxaa dheer, Yantai Wanhua 400,000 tan/sanadkii, agab cusub oo Binhai ah oo ah 240,000 tan/sanadkii oo ah awoodda wax soo saarka ee korodhay ee oxylene oxyne ayaa la filayaa in la soo saaro dhammaadka sanadka. Sida laga soo xigtay tirakoobyada Jinlianchuang, sanadka 2023, waxaa jira qiyaastii 1.888 milyan oo tan/sanadkii oo ah qorshe wax soo saar oo loogu talagalay wax soo saarka.
Wang Yibo, oo ah cilmi-baare ka tirsan China Research Pwi, ayaa aaminsan in maalgashiga joogtada ah ee awoodda wax soo saarka cusub, khatarta tartanka suuqa oksaydhka ay sii kordhayso, taasoo keeni karta isbeddello qiimo oo liita iyo faa'iido darrada warshadaha. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, shirkadaha hormuudka ah waxay si buuxda u isticmaali doonaan faa'iidooyinka isku filnaanshaha agabka ceeriin ee aasaasiga ah si loo yareeyo kharashyada wax soo saarka. Isla mar ahaantaana, ka dib horumarinta joogtada ah ee shirkadaha hormuudka ah waxay sidoo kale si wax ku ool ah uga hortagi kartaa khataraha suuqa.
Sidaa darteed, iyadoo ay saameyn ku yeelanayso tiro badan oo awood wax soo saar cusub ah, tartan suuqeed oo loogu talagalay tartanka kharashka ayaa laga bilaabi doonaa warshadaha oksaydhka. Marka laga eego aragtida baahida, baahida guud ee suuqa waxay muujinaysaa isbeddel dayactir ah, laakiin waqtiga soo kabashada ayaa ka dheer. Sun Shanshan waxay saadaalinaysaa in suuqa oksaydhka oxylene uu sii ahaan doono mid naxdin leh sanadka 2023. Haddii aysan jirin wax wanaagsan oo lama filaan ah, way adag tahay in la helo suuq qiimo sare leh ama kor u kac iyo kor u kac ah.
Waqtiga boostada: Maarso-21-2023