Halkee ayuu ku tagi doonaa Ganacsiga Kiimikada ee Shiinaha iyo Mareykanka iyadoo ay jirto kororka tacriifada?

2-dii Abriil, 2025, Donald Trump wuxuu Aqalka Cad ku saxiixay laba "taariif is-dhaafsi" ah, isagoo ku soo rogay 10% "tarifka ugu hooseeya" in ka badan 40 la-hawlgalayaal ganacsi oo uu Maraykanku ku leeyahay hoos-u-dhac ganacsi. Shiinaha ayaa wajahaya 34% tacriif ah, kaas oo marka lagu daro heerka 20% ee jira, uu noqon doono 54%. 7-dii Abriil, Maraykanku wuxuu sii kordhiyey xiisadda, isagoo ku hanjabay inuu 50% dheeraad ah saarayo badeecadaha Shiinaha laga bilaabo Abriil 9. Marka lagu daro saddex sare u kac oo hore, wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha ee Mareykanka wuxuu la kulmi karaa canshuur dhan 104%. Iyada oo laga jawaabayo, Shiinuhu wuxuu ku soo rogi doonaa 34% canshuur ah alaabada laga keeno Mareykanka Sidee tani u saameyn doontaa warshadaha kiimikada gudaha?

Marka loo eego xogta 2024 ee Shiinaha 20 kiimikaad ee ugu sarreeya Maraykanka laga keeno, alaabooyinkan ayaa ugu horreyntii ku urursan propane, polyetylen, ethylene glycol, gaaska dabiiciga ah, saliidda cayriin, dhuxusha, iyo kicinta-inta badan alaabta ceeriin, alaabta aasaasiga ah ee warshadaysan, iyo kicinta loo isticmaalo soosaarka kiimikada. Waxaa ka mid ah, karbonada acyclic-ga ah ee saturated iyo propane dareere ah ayaa ah 98.7% iyo 59.3% soo dejinta Maraykanka, iyada oo mugga ay gaadhay 553,000 tan iyo 1.73 milyan oo tan, siday u kala horreeyaan. Qiimaha soo dejinta ee propane dareere ah oo keliya ayaa ku dhacay $11.11 bilyan. Halka saliida ceyriinka ah, gaaska dabiiciga ah ee dareeraha ah, iyo dhuxusha coking ay sidoo kale leeyihiin qiyamka soo dejinta sare, saamiyadoodu waxa ay ka hooseeyaan 10%, taas oo ka dhigaysa kuwo la bedeli karo marka loo eego alaabada kale ee kiimikada. Tacriifooyinka is-dhaafsiga ah waxa laga yaabaa inay kordhiyaan kharashyada soo dejinta oo ay yareeyaan mugga badeecadaha sida propane, oo kor u qaadi kara kharashyada wax-soo-saarka iyo adkaynta sahayda soo-saarka hoose. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, saamaynta saliida ceyriinka ah, gaaska dabiiciga ah, iyo soo dejinta dhuxusha ayaa la filayaa inay xaddiddo.

Dhinaca dhoofinta, 20-ka kiimikaad ee Shiinuhu u dhoofiyo Maraykanka sannadka 2024 waxa u badnaa caagadaha iyo badeecadaha la xidhiidha, shidaalka macdanta, saliidda macdanta iyo alaabta nadiifinta, kiimikooyinka dabiiciga ah, kiimikooyinka kala duwan, iyo alaabada cinjirka ah. Caagaga oo keliya ayaa lagu tiriyaa 12 ka mid ah 20-ka shay ee ugu sarreeya, iyada oo la dhoofiyo qiimaheedu yahay $17.69 bilyan. Inta badan Dhoofinta Kiimikada ee ku xiran Mareykanka ayaa ka yar 30% wadarta Shiinaha, iyadoo galoofyada polyvinyl chloride (PVC) ay yihiin kuwa ugu sarreeya 46.2%. Dib u habeynta tacriifada ayaa laga yaabaa inay saameyn ku yeelato balaastikada, shidaalka macdanta, iyo alaabada caaga ah, halkaasoo Shiinuhu uu leeyahay saami dhoofin ah oo aad u sarreeya. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, hawlaha caalamiga ah ee shirkadaha Shiinaha ayaa kaa caawin kara yaraynta qaar ka mid ah naxdinta tariifada.

Marka la eego dulucda tacriifadaha sii kordhaya, siyaasaddu waxay khalkhal gelin kartaa baahida iyo qiimaha kiimikooyinka qaarkood. Suuqa dhoofinta Maraykanka, qaybaha mugga weyn sida badeecooyinka balaastikada ah iyo taayirada ayaa wajihi kara cadaadis weyn. Soo dejinta Maraykanka, alaabta ceeriin ee badan sida propane iyo acyclic hydrocarbons oo buuxa, kuwaas oo si weyn ugu tiirsan alaab-qeybiyeyaasha Mareykanka, ayaa laga yaabaa inay arkaan saameyn muuqata oo ku saabsan xasilloonida qiimaha iyo sahayda amniga alaabada kiimikada ee hoose.